Introduction

You refresh your phone every few minutes, and you still cannot believe what you are reading. The FIFA World Cup 2026 has turned into a knockout rollercoaster, and fans everywhere keep asking the same question: who is eliminated today? If you are trying to keep track of every shock exit, you are not alone. This tournament has already sent home some genuine giants of the game, and Tuesday brings three more matches that could reshape the entire bracket.

This article walks you through everything happening right now. You get a full match overview of today’s fixtures, the confirmed lineups, head-to-head history, key players to watch, recent form, a realistic prediction, and the numbers behind each tie. By the end, you will know exactly who is eliminated today at FIFA World Cup 2026, and who has booked a ticket to the Round of 16.

Quick Recap: Who Has Already Gone Home

Before we get into today’s action, let us set the scene. The new 48 team format changed everything. Instead of 32 teams, this World Cup gave more nations a shot at the knockout stage, but it also meant the early exits hit harder once the group stage wrapped up.

Sixteen teams left the tournament after the group stage. The list includes South Korea, Czechia, Qatar, Scotland, Haiti, Turkey, Curaçao, Tunisia, Iran, New Zealand, Uruguay, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Jordan, Uzbekistan, and Panama. South Korea, Scotland, Iran, and Uruguay went out specifically because they finished among the four worst third place teams.

Once the Round of 32 began, the exits turned brutal fast. South Africa became the first team eliminated in the knockout phase, falling to Canada by a single goal. Japan followed soon after. Brazil edged Japan in a tense match, with Gabriel Martinelli scoring the winner in stoppage time after Japan had taken an early lead.

Germany and the Netherlands then suffered painful penalty shootout defeats. Germany and Paraguay played out a 120 plus minute thriller that finished level, and Paraguay won the shootout in stunning fashion. Morocco then beat the Netherlands on penalties after a dramatic draw in Monterrey, with goalkeeper Yassine Bounou saving the decisive Dutch penalty. That match carried real emotional weight too. Dutch forward Cody Gakpo scored and broke down in tears, just two days after he and his partner announced the loss of their unborn child, yet he chose to stay with the squad.

So heading into today, twenty teams have already packed their bags. That number is about to grow.

Today’s Match Overview

Three Round of 32 ties decide who joins the eliminated list today. France face Sweden, cohosts Mexico take on Ecuador, and Ivory Coast battle Norway, with all three games deciding the final places in the Round of 16.

Here is the breakdown of each fixture.

France vs Sweden

This match looks like the most one sided tie of the day on paper. France arrive as one of the genuine title favorites, while Sweden are simply happy to have reached the knockout stage.

Mexico vs Ecuador

This one feels far more even. The cohosts carry home advantage and a passionate crowd, but Ecuador have been tough to break down all tournament.

Ivory Coast vs Norway

This tie offers the freshest storyline of the three. It marks the first competitive meeting ever between Ivory Coast and Norway.

Team Lineups

You always want to know who actually takes the field, so here is what to expect from each side based on tournament form.

France lean on their usual spine of Premier League and Champions League regulars, anchored by a strong midfield and a clinical front line.

Sweden set up to defend in numbers and look to hit on the counter, since matching France in open play rarely works for underdogs.

Mexico play with energy and width, using their home crowd to push forward early and often.

Ecuador stay compact and disciplined, relying on quick transitions rather than prolonged possession.

Ivory Coast bring physical power and pace on the wings, hoping to unsettle a Norwegian back line that has looked composed all tournament.

Norway trust their structure and set pieces, a formula that has carried them deep into this competition already.

Head-to-Head Record

History tells you a lot about how a match might unfold, and these three ties show very different stories.

• France vs Sweden: The two nations have met 23 times across all competitions, with France holding the edge through 12 wins to Sweden’s six, while five matches finished level. Despite that long rivalry, this is genuinely new territory. This will be their first ever meeting at a FIFA World Cup.
• Mexico vs Ecuador: These sides have only met once before at a World Cup, a game Mexico won 2 1 during the 2002 group stage. Since then, things have evened out considerably. Mexico and Ecuador remain unbeaten against each other in their last three encounters, with all three matches ending in draws.
• Ivory Coast vs Norway: There is no World Cup history here at all, since this is their first ever competitive meeting. However, Norway carries a strong general record against African opposition. Norway have lost only two of their 19 meetings with CAF nations across all competitions.

Key Players to Watch

Every knockout game turns on a handful of standout performers. Here are the names you should track closely today.

1. France’s attacking core continues to carry the weight of title expectations, and their efficiency in front of goal has been the difference in tight matches.
2. Sweden’s defensive organizers need a near perfect performance to frustrate France for ninety minutes or more.
3. Mexico’s wide players thrive on home support and have created the bulk of their chances from the flanks.
4. Ecuador’s goalkeeper has been a wall throughout the group stage, and another big save could decide this tie.
5. Ivory Coast’s forwards bring the pace that could trouble a Norwegian defense unused to facing that kind of speed.
6. Norway’s set piece specialists have turned dead ball situations into a genuine weapon this tournament.

I think the goalkeepers might end up being the real story today. Penalty shootouts have already decided two knockout games this week, and that pattern could easily repeat itself.

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Recent Form

Form heading into a knockout match often tells you more than reputation alone.

France enter the Round of 32 having topped their group with minimal fuss, showing the kind of control that title contenders need. Sweden scraped through as one of the better third place finishers, which means they have already proven they can grind out results under pressure.

Mexico have looked sharp at home, feeding off crowd energy in every match so far. Ecuador have been quietly efficient, picking up points without needing to dazzle anyone.

Ivory Coast finished their group strongly, building momentum at exactly the right time. Norway have been the surprise package of the tournament, and they are strongly backed to reach the Round of 16 and equal their best ever World Cup finish.

Match Predictions

Based on the data and current form, here is how I see today’s results playing out.

France vs Sweden: The numbers heavily favor France here. Across 25,000 pre match simulations, France won in normal time 75.1 percent of the time, while Sweden won just 9.5 percent of those simulations, and 15.4 percent ended level after 90 minutes. Expect France to advance, likely in regulation time.

Mexico vs Ecuador: This looks like the closest contest of the three. Mexico won in normal time in 47.1 percent of simulations compared with 23.7 percent for Ecuador, while 29.2 percent of matches finished level after 90 minutes. Once extra time and penalties get factored in, Mexico’s overall chance of reaching the Round of 16 rises to 61 percent, against 38.9 percent for Ecuador. Expect a nervy finish, possibly decided by penalties.

Ivory Coast vs Norway: The supercomputer model calculates Norway as the clear favorites to progress. Expect Norway to win, though Ivory Coast’s pace could make this closer than the model suggests.

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Statistics That Matter

Numbers cut through the noise, so here is what stands out from this Round of 32 so far.

• Twenty teams have already left the tournament before today’s matches even kicked off.
• Two of the four Round of 32 games played so far went to penalty shootouts.
• France’s win probability of 75.1 percent makes them the strongest favorite on today’s slate.
• Mexico vs Ecuador shows the tightest gap of any match today, separated by less than ten percentage points once extra time is included.
• Norway have lost only two competitive matches against African nations in 19 attempts, a remarkable defensive record.

Common Questions About Today’s Eliminations

Who got eliminated from the World Cup 2026 today? Results from France vs Sweden, Mexico vs Ecuador, and Ivory Coast vs Norway will confirm three more eliminated teams once the final whistle blows on each match.

How many teams have been eliminated from the World Cup 2026 so far? Twenty teams had already been eliminated before today’s matches kicked off, including 16 from the group stage and four from the early Round of 32 games.

Why did Germany and the Netherlands get eliminated? Both teams lost their Round of 32 matches in penalty shootouts, Germany to Paraguay and the Netherlands to Morocco.

What happens if a Round of 32 match ends in a draw? The match moves to extra time, and if scores remain level after that, the tie is decided by a penalty shootout, since there are no replays at this stage.

Why did Uruguay get eliminated so early? Uruguay finished third in their group with only two points from three matches, and they ended up among the four worst third place finishers under the new tiebreaker rules.

Does the new 48 team format make elimination easier or harder? The expanded format actually gives teams a better chance to advance, since 32 of the 48 teams move on to the Round of 32, compared with only 16 of 32 teams in previous tournaments.

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Final Verdict

The FIFA World Cup 2026 has already proven that no team is safe once the Round of 32 begins. Twenty nations have gone home, and three more spots in the Round of 16 get decided today. France look like the safest bet to advance, Mexico and Ecuador appear locked in a coin flip, and Norway carries strong momentum against Ivory Coast.

If you have been asking who is eliminated today at FIFA World Cup 2026, the honest answer is that you need to watch these three matches unfold, since each one carries real upset potential. Keep this page bookmarked, check back after the final whistle, and let us know in the comments which result surprised you the most.

Sarah Mitchell is a sports journalist who has covered international football for over eight years. She specializes in World Cup coverage, match analysis, and statistical previews. Sarah holds a degree in sports journalism and has worked with several major football publications, bringing readers clear, fast, and accurate tournament updates throughout every major competition.